Money Manager Monthly

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June 2011

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In This Issue
Latest Report


Don't Make This Mistake! 

   

Chasing performance can derail long-term financial plans and hurt your ability to reach your goals.

 

We'll illustrate this concept using Churchill Management Group as an example. 


Click Here To Download the Report 

Investment Quiz


1. How many declines have there been on the S&P 500 of 2% or more during bull markets since 1962?
a) 430
b) 126
c) 17
d) 526

2. What percentage of reporting companies beat their earnings estimates in Q1 2011?
a) 68%
b) 33%
c) 15%
d) 76%

3. What was the latest unemployment number? (As of 6/3/2011)
a) 8.5%
b) 9.1%
c) 8.1%
d) 9.5%

Answers: b, a, b

Source: Federated Investors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, InvestmentNews

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MARKET COMMENTARY
Stock Market Correction Coming Soon?
By Gabriel F. Burczyk, President & Chairman of the Investment Policy Committee 
 

Gabriel F. BurczykA correction of more than 10% on the S&P 500 this year is not only possible, it's probable. I believe a decline in the market could create a buying opportunity for equity investors. With a small 6% pullback in March, we have yet to see an intra-year correction which usually occurs.

 

WrapManager's Investment Policy Committee believes these next few weeks or months could produce some excellent buying opportunities and equity investors may want to be ready when they arrive.

Read On »
MONEY MANAGER COMMENTARY
Economic Issues Heading into Summer

Tradewinds Global InvestorsWeird Science and the Concept of Value
In his latest must read commentary, Chief Investment Officer David Iben at money manager Tradewinds discusses the concept of money and its use throughout history. "When discounting future cash flows, the "value" of that cash at the time it is received in the future should be in the forefront of peoples' minds. Fiat currencies and bonds are somebody's liability. Governments' ability to make good on these obligations is imperative. In light of the current, precarious situation of most issuers of paper currency and sovereign bonds, Tradewinds prefers to own good business franchises and tangible wealth."
Click Here for the Full Tradewinds Commentary

BlackRock, Inc.Disappointing Data Should Be Temporary
This week's commentary from BlackRock focuses on the series of recent disappointing economic reports and ultimately concludes the economic forecast will be largely dependent on the jobs market. "In retrospect, a disappointing data set should not have been that surprising given the weaker data we have seen over the past month. There has clearly been a soft patch in economic performance this spring, and as such, the employment growth rate is slowing rather than accelerating."
Click Here for BlackRock's Commentary

Wells FargoImportant Perspectives on Inflation
Chief Macro Strategist at Wells Fargo, Gary Thayer, looks at the history of inflation and the total increase in consumer prices per decade. "As consumers we know that prices of most goods and services go up over time. However, the rate of increase is not uniform. Prices sometimes go up fast. Other times they go up slow. Investors need to take inflation into account when anticipating both the performance and purchasing power of their portfolios over time."
Click Here for Wells Fargo's Full Commentary

Lord Abbett & Co.Dancing on the Debt Ceiling
Money manager Lord Abbett compares the reaction of the market to the reaction of the media in the ongoing debt ceiling issue. "Market opinion, though neither Democrat nor Republican, clearly wants long-term deficit reduction plans and so would welcome any compromise that began to tackle the issue much more than it would a simple debt ceiling increase. Perhaps it is such an expectation that also explains market calm in the face of the inflammatory language used in the media and in Washington."
Click Here for Lord Abbett's Full Commentary
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FINANCIAL TIDBIT
Quantitative Easing Basics

 

Federal Reserve

You've probably noticed the media surrounding Quantitative Easing over the last few months. Expect this to increase as the Federal Reserve's second version of Quantitative Easing comes to a close on June 30th. Here are the basics.

 

Quantitative Easing, also known as "QE" and "QE2", is an attempt by the Federal Reserve to spur growth by injecting money into the economy and keep long-term interest rates low. The Fed's primary way of doing this has been to purchase US Treasury Bonds. This helps keep interest rates low and increases bank reserves, which increases bank's ability to lend, leading to increased business investment. Think of it as the Fed's way of getting the economy going when it's weak.

 

It's also crucial to know when to "put on the brakes" as the economy gets back on its own two feet. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has decided to stop increasing support on June 30th, but will maintain the level of support that has accumulated since the beginning of the Quantitative Easing program. Slowly winding down the program will hopefully avoid economic shocks that could occur if the stimulus was withdrawn immediately.

 

Source: MIT, InvestmentNews
The attached report and information have been prepared or produced by WrapManager, Inc. from sources and data believed to be reliable. Information provided in this report is for educational and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as individualized investment advice, as an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any states where such an offer or solicitation would be prohibited by regulations. WrapManager, Inc. is not a tax advisory firm. We recommend you contact your tax attorney or CPA prior to utilizing any of the tax-related strategies mentioned or discussed. Returns and experiences will vary for each client. Each client's risk tolerance and investment objectives are unique to them. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. No assumption that future performance of any specific investment or product made reference to directly by WrapManager, Inc., on its Web site and in marketing materials, will be profitable or equal the corresponding indicated performance level(s). If performance numbers are generated gross of fees, a client's return will be reduced by investment advisory fees and any other expenses. Opinions expressed are those of WrapManager, Inc. and are subject to change without notice and are not necessarily those of Prospera Financial Services, Inc., its directors, parent company or its affiliates. Securities offered through Prospera Financial Services and cleared through First Clearing, LLC. Prospera Financial Services - Member FINRA/SIPC.

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