WrapManager's Wealth Management Blog
When life changes, we can help you thoughtfully respond.

JP Morgan Releases New Guide to the Markets for 3Q 2018

Posted by WrapManager's Investment Policy Committee

August 16, 2018

Reviewing the Guide to the Markets to Understand the Current Investment Environment

J.P. Morgan's Guide to the Markets for the third quarter of 2018 is now available for your review. Inside you'll find deeper insight into the current investment environment and what the investment team at JP Morgan is keeping an eye on right now. 

On page 19 you'll see two charts (Real GDP & Components of GDP) that show how the economic expansion is continuing at a slow but steady pace. On page 25 you'll see a chart that displays how unemployment continues to fall, which JP Morgan believes should drive up wages. And on page 7 you'll see three charts that show how although earnings headwinds should be behind us, future growth may be muted. 

[+] Read More

JP Morgan JP Morgan Guide to Markets Money Manager Commentary

J.P. Morgan Shares Market Insights for Q3 2018

July 12, 2018
J.P. Morgan Releases the 3Q 2018 Guide to the Markets JP Morgan's Guide to the Markets for the third quarter of 2018 is now available for review. Comprised of 64 in-depth pages of charts that examine a variety of financial and economic topics, the guide illustrates: Sources of earnings per share growth Economic growth and the composition of GDP Fixed income yields and returns Global economic and earnings growth Global commercial real estate, and Local investing and global opportunities [+] Read More

J.P. Morgan Shares Global Equity Views for 2Q 2018

May 24, 2018
Taking Stock of Trends, Opportunities, and Risks At first glance, the current environment remains rather favorable for equity investors. Profitability is strong and continues to rise around the world, interest rates are still very low in most countries and valuations don’t yet look excessive, for the most part. But after an exceptionally positive 2017 and a rip-roaring start to 2018, investors have become more nervous, fearing that a breakdown in international trade relations or a monetary policy mistake could bring this economic cycle to an end. Volatility has returned to markets, with investors more inclined to punish perceived disappointments rather than celebrate successes. [+] Read More

J.P. Morgan Releases 2Q 2018 Guide to the Markets

April 5, 2018
J.P. Morgan Quarterly Guide to the Markets Now Available JP Morgan's Guide to the Markets (GTM) for the second quarter of 2018 is now available for your review. The comprehensive 71-page includes detailed charts illustrating: S&P valuation measures The length and strength of economic expansions Interest rates and inflation [+] Read More

JP Morgan Examines Economic Growth and Employment

March 22, 2018
JP Morgan's weekly update offers investors an at-a-glance summary of economic news and reports.This week's update looks at: • Economic growth • Corporate profits • Employment • Changes at The Fed Read an excerpt from this week's update below, or download JP Morgan's complete economic commentary. [+] Read More

Updated: JP Morgan Guide to the Markets for 1Q 2018

February 15, 2018
Updated with 4Q 2017 Data JP Morgan's updated Guide to the Markets for the first quarter of 2018 now includes financial data for 4Q 2017, including: S&P500 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Corporate earnings: capex vs. payouts Cash flow and corporate debt for S&P 500 companies This 71-page guide is full of charts that provide key insights into the labor market, housing, corporate debt and other key financial topics. Download J.P. Morgan's updated Guide to Markets for 1Q 2018, or continue reading to learn more about the information it contains. [+] Read More

JP Morgan Guide to the Markets for 1Q 2018

January 11, 2018
JP Morgan Quarterly Guide to the Markets JP Morgan’s Guide to the Markets for the first quarter of 2018 is now available for your review. The comprehensive 71-page guide includes 65 pages of charts illustrating: Trends across equities, the economy, the fixed income sector and international investing Returns and valuations by style and by sector Fixed income yields and returns Annual returns and intra-year declines of the S&P 500 Investor allocation by region The power of compounding The retirement savings gap [+] Read More

JP Morgan Recaps Year-End Economic Data

December 28, 2017
JP Morgan's weekly update offers a snapshot of changes in the economy and potential implications for investors. This week's investment themes include: • Earnings growth, coupled with slowly rising interest rates, makes stocks look attractive in relative terms. • High-yield bonds look more attractive than Treasuries, but a diversified approach to fixed income investing seems appropriate given Fed tightening. • International exposure is warranted given growth prospects abroad, and a weaker dollar can enhance foreign returns. [+] Read More

JP Morgan Guide to the Markets for 4Q 2017 Released

October 12, 2017
JP Morgan Reviews Investing Opportunities & Rate Expectations JP Morgan’s Guide to the Markets for fourth quarter 2017 is now available. This comprehensive, 60+ page guide includes insightful charts illustrating: Corporate profits and financials Fixed income sector returns Local investing and global opportunities Federal funds rate expectations [+] Read More

JP Morgan Assesses Future Asset Allocation

October 5, 2017
Given our positive view on growth, we maintain a pro-risk tilt in our asset allocation. As the U.S. economy moves into late cycle, we are naturally more attuned to any dip in higher frequency data, but currently we see little risk of recession in the next 12 months. As a result, we remain overweight (OW) stock-bond and underweight (UW) duration—albeit with slightly lower conviction in light of the failure of inflation expectations to advance alongside other macro data. Correlation across regional indices remains low, favoring broad diversification across global equity markets. But at the margin our most favored regions remain the eurozone and Japan, ahead of the U.S. and emerging markets, with the UK our least preferred region. In bond markets we expect yields to grind higher over the fourth quarter and see U.S. Treasuries outperforming most other sovereign markets, in particular German Bunds, which look vulnerable given the robust level of eurozone growth. Elsewhere we remain neutral on credit, real estate and commodities, and UW cash. In a distinctly mature credit cycle, returns from credit will come from carry rather than capital appreciation; nevertheless, we expect credit to outperform government bonds even if it lags stocks. Overall, we take a pro-risk stance in our portfolios but are mindful that with the economic cycle maturing, liquidity and diversification are paramount. Read the entire market commentary here. [+] Read More