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How “Familiarity Bias” May Impact Your Investment Decision-Making

Posted by Seton McAndrews | CFP®, Vice President Investments
July 18, 2017

Familiarity-Bias.pngIt’s no secret that investors have a tendency to "get in their own way” when it comes to making investment decisions. As we have written before, you may not be your own best financial planner. The idea that investors often make emotional or ill-informed decisions is not an attribute that is just widely-known and accepted—there is actually an entire field of research devoted to it.

This field of research is known as Behavioral Economics or Behavioral Finance, and people in the field study “inherent biases that plague individual investors.” These biases are often ones that are difficult for individual investors to come to terms with and overcome. Robert Stammers, the Director of Education for the CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst) Institute, frames the role of investor behavior on decision-making into three behavioral biases: overconfidence, familiarity, and anchoring.1 We will focus on the familiarity bias here.

What is Familiarity Bias?

Do you know someone who will only shop at a certain place or buy a certain brand, or who will only take a certain route to go somewhere because that’s the route they’ve taken for years? These are examples of familiarity bias, which in many cases can prevent a person from acting objectively—even when the information available suggests they do otherwise.2

Familiarity bias is all too common in investing. The most commonly cited versions are when an investor will only buy stocks/bonds in their home country; when an investor owns a high percentage of company stock simply because they work there; or, when an investor buys shares of a company whose product they frequently use and enjoy (think: Facebook, Snapchat, Johnson & Johnson).¹ Let’s take a look at all three.

The Investment Perils of Familiarity Bias

  1. A Bias to Your Home Country – over the last several years, the share of U.S. stocks as a percentage of global stocks has been getting smaller. It’s not that the U.S. is shrinking—it’s that the global economy is getting bigger. And in many cases, foreign stocks outperform U.S. stocks. Take 2003 – 2007 for example. In that period, international stocks generated a better return than U.S. stocks, so investors that were biased to the U.S. or had no foreign exposure at all arguably underperformed the world. This type of familiarity bias may be best remedied by taking an approach of broad diversification.2
  2. A Bias to the Company You Work For – owning company stock is often a generous benefit of working for a publicly traded company. But it also comes with its risks, especially if it means a large percentage of someone’s net worth is tied up in an individual stock. The most extreme example of this bias going south is with a company like Enron. The company was fraudulently managed which led to its collapse in 2001. One employee in his mid-50s reportedly saw his 401(k)—which was heavily invested in Enron stock—fall from $470,000 to $40,000.2 This is an extreme example, but the lesson is essentially the same: remember the value of diversification.
  3. A Bias to Companies You “Like” – some investors tend to buy stocks of companies whose products they like, or whose products they use frequently. There is not anything inherently wrong with this approach – in many cases, it means buying a company that makes a profitable product and runs a profitable business. But investing should involve more analysis and ongoing research into a company. People may have liked the company Groupon when it went public, but investing in it may not have been a good approach.

Conclusion

Benjamin Graham, one of the most famed investors of all time and author of “The Intelligent Investor” once said, “the investor’s chief problem – even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.” 2 This is not to say that individual investors are incapable of effective money management—it is more to remind investors that we often tend to get into our own way. Seeking help with investments isn’t itself a sign of weakness—it’s recognizing the simple fact that we have weaknesses.

Creating checks and balances in your investing approach is a good way to get past this behavioral issue, in our opinion. If you have a sounding board (a financial advisor) to discuss investment decisions with, you may be more likely to think more deeply about investment decisions before moving forward with them.

The Wealth Managers at WrapManager are here to be your sounding board, to talk with you about your investment plan and your investment portfolio, and to offer you a path to diversification that we believe delivers desirable long-term results.

 


Sources:

1. Forbes- Three Behavioral Biases That Can Affect Your Investment Performance

2. Nerd Wallet - Understand Your Familiarity Bias to Be a Better Investor

Familiarity Bias Investing 101

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